Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.235886 0.272446 0.312600 0.359947 0.414226 0.474484 0.546437
2024-10-27 0.175833 0.222576 0.278550 0.350419 0.440159 0.548430 0.688915
2024-11-03 0.142890 0.196624 0.266231 0.362760 0.492922 0.662110 0.898516
2024-11-10 0.118708 0.176474 0.256927 0.376688 0.549944 0.790957 1.151147
2024-11-17 0.096325 0.153934 0.239779 0.376262 0.586988 0.899037 1.395098
2024-11-24 0.078871 0.134849 0.223689 0.373840 0.620061 1.006293 1.656136
2024-12-01 0.065694 0.119652 0.210469 0.372953 0.654696 1.120807 1.947145
2024-12-08 0.055755 0.107755 0.200227 0.374700 0.693356 1.247193 2.277685
2024-12-15 0.048789 0.099682 0.194960 0.383852 0.745893 1.404551 2.686067
2024-12-22 0.041741 0.089949 0.184752 0.381796 0.777203 1.528427 3.053178
2024-12-29 0.037126 0.084107 0.180850 0.391004 0.831136 1.701684 3.539266
2025-01-05 0.031922 0.075928 0.170695 0.385561 0.854569 1.818973 3.932996
2025-01-12 0.028409 0.070874 0.166411 0.392263 0.905484 2.001330 4.492924
2025-01-19 0.024177 0.063259 0.155100 0.381419 0.916624 2.102803 4.898893
2025-01-26 0.022091 0.060425 0.154234 0.394481 0.983994 2.336292 5.631818
2025-02-02 0.020345 0.058086 0.154122 0.409356 1.058222 2.596532 6.466495
2025-02-09 0.018036 0.053746 0.148220 0.408737 1.094745 2.775086 7.137472
2025-02-16 0.015953 0.049571 0.141952 0.406009 1.125503 2.944523 7.812928
2025-02-23 0.014221 0.046021 0.136682 0.404978 1.160526 3.129810 8.556978
2025-03-02 0.012816 0.043136 0.132710 0.406824 1.203663 3.342311 9.404227
2025-03-09 0.011834 0.041360 0.131597 0.416703 1.270909 3.628171 10.490142
2025-03-16 0.010605 0.038496 0.126699 0.414456 1.303089 3.824513 11.362278
2025-03-23 0.009843 0.037032 0.125829 0.424412 1.373093 4.136098 12.604720